SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
39.92% ( -0.12) | 25.38% ( 0.07) | 34.71% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.17% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% ( -0.33) | 47.59% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( -0.31) | 69.8% ( 0.31) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( -0.21) | 23.61% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.31% ( -0.3) | 57.69% ( 0.3) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( -0.13) | 26.47% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% ( -0.18) | 61.65% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.92% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.71% |
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