SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Zhejiang Professional win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
61.75% ( -1.23) | 20.76% ( 0.53) | 17.49% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.27% ( -1.16) | 41.73% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.86% ( -1.19) | 64.13% ( 1.18) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87% ( -0.71) | 13% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.48% ( -1.47) | 39.52% ( 1.47) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% ( 0.12) | 37.31% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.91% ( 0.12) | 74.1% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.34% Total : 61.75% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.35% Total : 17.49% |
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