Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
39.73% ( 3.33) | 24.8% ( -0.04) | 35.47% ( -3.29) |
Both teams to score 58.31% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.12% ( 0.07) | 44.88% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.76% ( 0.07) | 67.23% ( -0.07) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( 1.76) | 22.5% ( -1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.93% ( 2.56) | 56.07% ( -2.56) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% ( -1.73) | 24.75% ( 1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.69% ( -2.48) | 59.31% ( 2.48) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.43) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.6) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.41) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.42) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.47% |
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