SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartberg | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
30.32% ( 0.01) | 23.03% ( 0) | 46.65% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.77% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.78% ( -0.03) | 38.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.5% ( -0.03) | 60.5% ( 0.03) |
| Hartberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0.01) | 24.6% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% ( -0.01) | 59.09% ( 0.01) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% ( -0.02) | 16.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.31% ( -0.03) | 46.69% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartberg | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.05% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.32% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0)Other @ 4.31% Total : 46.65% |
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