SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sturm Graz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartberg | Draw | Sturm Graz |
36.58% ( 0) | 24.64% ( -0) | 38.78% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.05% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.02% ( 0) | 43.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.63% ( 0.01) | 66.36% ( -0.01) |
| Hartberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( 0) | 23.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% ( 0.01) | 57.85% ( -0.01) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.42% ( 0) | 22.58% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.81% ( 0) | 56.19% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartberg | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.58% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.78% |
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