Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 37.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
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