SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
36.04% ( -2.13) | 24.48% ( -0.2) | 39.48% ( 2.33) |
| Both teams to score 59.57% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.72% ( 0.85) | 43.28% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.32% ( 0.83) | 65.68% ( -0.83) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.3% ( -0.74) | 23.7% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.18% ( -1.08) | 57.82% ( 1.08) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( 1.57) | 21.92% ( -1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.8% ( 2.32) | 55.2% ( -2.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.45)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.45)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.1% Total : 36.04% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.29)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.48% |
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