Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
0) 
-0.01) 
