Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
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