Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Fylde win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
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