SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Ankaragucu |
39.16% ( 0.05) | 25.77% ( 0.01) | 35.06% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.86% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.69% ( -0.07) | 49.3% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.64% ( -0.06) | 71.35% ( 0.06) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( -0) | 24.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.67% ( -0) | 59.33% ( 0) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( -0.08) | 27.07% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% ( -0.09) | 62.44% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Ankaragucu |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.06% |
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