SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Hatayspor |
56.15% ( -0.52) | 24.03% ( 0.4) | 19.81% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( -1.44) | 52.13% ( 1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% ( -1.26) | 73.85% ( 1.26) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% ( -0.73) | 18.42% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.42% ( -1.24) | 49.58% ( 1.24) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.2% ( -0.7) | 40.8% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.62% ( -0.64) | 77.37% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.21% Total : 56.15% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.22% Total : 19.81% |
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