SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Dundee |
47.84% ( 1.12) | 24.33% ( 0.07) | 27.83% ( -1.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( -1.06) | 45.77% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -1.01) | 68.08% ( 1.01) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.78% ( 0.04) | 19.22% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.08% ( 0.07) | 50.92% ( -0.07) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( -1.4) | 30.1% ( 1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% ( -1.71) | 66.24% ( 1.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.15% Total : 47.84% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.14% Total : 27.83% |
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