SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
47.65% ( 0.48) | 24.38% ( -0.08) | 27.97% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.09% ( 0.09) | 45.91% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% ( 0.08) | 68.22% ( -0.08) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( 0.23) | 19.36% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.85% ( 0.38) | 51.15% ( -0.38) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( -0.25) | 30.07% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% ( -0.3) | 66.2% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 47.65% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.15% Total : 27.97% |
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