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Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2024 at 12.15pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
HL

Spartans
1 - 2
Hearts

Craigen (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vargas (12'), Kent (90+2')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Spartans and Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spartans 0-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Livingston 1-2 Hearts
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Spartans had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Spartans win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
SpartansDrawHearts
15.58%19.97%64.44%
Both teams to score 52.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28%41.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88%64.12%
Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.36%39.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.68%76.32%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.77%12.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.08%37.92%
Score Analysis
    Spartans 15.58%
    Hearts 64.44%
    Draw 19.97%
SpartansDrawHearts
1-0 @ 4.48%
2-1 @ 4.36%
2-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.41%
3-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 15.58%
1-1 @ 9.42%
0-0 @ 4.85%
2-2 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.97%
0-2 @ 10.7%
0-1 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-3 @ 7.5%
1-3 @ 6.94%
0-4 @ 3.94%
1-4 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 3.21%
2-4 @ 1.69%
0-5 @ 1.66%
1-5 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 64.44%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Spartans 0-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Peterhead 0-1 Spartans
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Spartans 3-0 Stranraer
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 0-4 Spartans
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Spartans 1-0 Forfar
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Spartans 1-2 Peterhead
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Livingston 1-2 Hearts
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-2 Ross County
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 0-1 Hearts
Wednesday, December 27 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 St Mirren
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 0-2 Hearts
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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