Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Spartans had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Spartans win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.