SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
51.07% ( -0.15) | 24.04% ( 0.04) | 24.88% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.75% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.2% ( -0.05) | 46.8% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( -0.04) | 69.06% ( 0.05) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% ( -0.08) | 18.34% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.55% ( -0.13) | 49.44% ( 0.13) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( 0.07) | 32.95% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.46% ( 0.08) | 69.54% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.07% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 24.88% |
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