Heerenveen will surely fancy their chances of grabbing a couple of goals against an Excelsior side with the worst defensive record in the entire division. We are tipping the hosts to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	SBV Excelsior
73.49% ( -0.07)	16.8% ( 0.08)	9.72% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.69% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.11% (

-0.39)

41.89% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.71% (

-0.39)

64.29% (

0.4)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.09% (

-0.12)

9.91% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.18% (

-0.27)

32.82% (

0.28)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.72% (

-0.27)

49.28% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.84% (

-0.19)

84.16% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 73.47%

SBV Excelsior 9.72%

Draw 16.8%

Heerenveen	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 73.47%	1-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.8%	0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.72%