Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 89.66%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 3.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.25%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
89.66% (![]() | 7.14% (![]() | 3.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
80.16% (![]() | 19.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
62.14% (![]() | 37.85% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.37% (![]() | 2.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.81% (![]() | 12.18% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.93% (![]() | 52.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.95% (![]() | 86.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
3-0 @ 10.98% (![]() 4-0 @ 10% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.06% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 7.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 8-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.91% Total : 89.65% | 1-1 @ 3.25% (![]() 2-2 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.59% Total : 7.14% | 1-2 @ 1.06% (![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 3.2% |
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