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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
BL

Heidenheim
3 - 2
Bayern

Sessa (50'), Kleindienst (51', 79')
Gimber (62'), Dinkci (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kane (38'), Gnabry (45')
Tuchel (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Heidenheim
Sunday, March 31 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Heidenheim 2-4 Bayern Munich

Bayern have not lost to a Bundesliga debutant since a defeat to Energie Cottbus in 2000, also winning 17 of their last 18 against sides making their first appearance in the top flight. Heidenheim's foot may have come off the pedal slightly, but they still provide great entertainment, and against a Bayern side who also score and conceded in great quantity, a thrilling encounter could await. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.88%) and 1-3 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
HeidenheimDrawBayern Munich
18.34% (-0.699 -0.7) 18.85% (-0.149 -0.15) 62.81% (0.847 0.85)
Both teams to score 63.41% (-0.827 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.95% (-0.46600000000001 -0.47)31.05% (0.466 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.56% (-0.55399999999999 -0.55)52.44% (0.553 0.55)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (-0.96600000000001 -0.97)29.9% (0.965 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99% (-1.182 -1.18)66% (1.18 1.18)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.46% (0.064000000000007 0.06)9.54% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.04% (0.154 0.15)31.95% (-0.156 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 18.34%
    Bayern Munich 62.81%
    Draw 18.85%
HeidenheimDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.88% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-0 @ 3.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.08% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 18.34%
1-1 @ 8.09% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.85% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.85%
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.88% (0.246 0.25)
1-3 @ 7.45% (0.059 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.19 0.19)
0-3 @ 6.17% (0.21 0.21)
2-3 @ 4.49% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-4 @ 4.37% (0.047 0.05)
0-4 @ 3.62% (0.134 0.13)
2-4 @ 2.64% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-5 @ 2.06% (0.029 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.7% (0.068 0.07)
2-5 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 62.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Heidenheim
Sunday, March 31 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 2-5 Bayern
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 8-1 Mainz
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Lazio
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Freiburg 2-2 Bayern
Friday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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