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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
BL

VfL Bochum
3 - 2
Bayern

Asano (38'), Schlotterbeck (44'), Stoger (78' pen.)
Bernardo (45'), Losilla (45+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Musiala (14'), Kane (87')
Upamecano (39'), Goretzka (50'), Min-jae (59')
Upamecano (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Bayern
Wednesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: VfL Bochum 1-3 Bayern Munich

There is no margin for error for Bayern Munich and Thomas Tuchel this weekend. While confidence around the camp is likely at the lowest point that it has been for many years, the Bavarians have far too much firepower to write off just yet, and we feel they will bounce back with a solid victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-3 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawBayern Munich
18.87% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 19.19% (-0.509 -0.51) 61.93% (0.508 0.51)
Both teams to score 63.16% (1.959 1.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.19% (2.51 2.51)31.8% (-2.516 -2.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.66% (2.887 2.89)53.33% (-2.893 -2.89)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (1.515 1.52)29.84% (-1.523 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07% (1.799 1.8)65.93% (-1.805 -1.81)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (0.86 0.86)9.96% (-0.867 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.05% (1.956 1.96)32.95% (-1.962 -1.96)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 18.87%
    Bayern Munich 61.93%
    Draw 19.19%
VfL BochumDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.01% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 3.6% (-0.343 -0.34)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 2.17% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.02% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 18.87%
1-1 @ 8.29% (-0.463 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 2.97% (-0.423 -0.42)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.176 0.18)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.19%
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.485 -0.48)
1-3 @ 7.35% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.693 -0.69)
0-3 @ 6.08% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 4.44% (0.264 0.26)
1-4 @ 4.24% (0.231 0.23)
0-4 @ 3.5% (0.049 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.56% (0.24 0.24)
1-5 @ 1.95% (0.173 0.17)
0-5 @ 1.62% (0.08 0.08)
2-5 @ 1.18% (0.15 0.15)
3-4 @ 1.03% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 61.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 VfL Bochum
Sunday, January 28 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Bayern
Wednesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 Bayern
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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