SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 7.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Heidenheim |
81.66% ( -0.1) | 11.29% ( 0.07) | 7.04% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.01% ( -0.23) | 22.99% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.76% ( -0.31) | 42.24% ( 0.32) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.8% ( -0.05) | 4.2% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.48% ( -0.18) | 17.51% ( 0.18) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.8% ( -0.11) | 41.2% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.27% ( -0.1) | 77.73% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 3-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 8.15% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)7-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)6-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.06% Total : 81.66% | 1-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 11.29% | 1-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 7.04% |
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