Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	Hajduk Split
41.36% ( 0.2)	27.04% ( -0.03)	31.59% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 49.92% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.77% (

0.09)

55.23% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.54% (

0.07)

76.46% (

-0.07)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.7% (

0.15)

26.3% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.57% (

0.2)

61.43% (

-0.19)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.74% (

-0.07)

32.26% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.24% (

-0.08)

68.76% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 41.36%

Hajduk Split 31.6%

Draw 27.04%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.36%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.6%