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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 25
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
2 - 0
Varazdin

Galesic (79'), Mitrovic (90')
Smolcic (63'), Banda (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Borsic (5'), Dabro (28')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between HNK Rijeka and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Rijeka
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-1 Hajduk Split
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 9.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 3-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawNK Varazdin
74.65% (-0.962 -0.96) 16.07% (0.441 0.44) 9.28% (0.5199 0.52)
Both teams to score 46.52% (0.682 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.16% (-0.331 -0.33)39.84% (0.329 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.8% (-0.344 -0.34)62.19% (0.342 0.34)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)9.11% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.06% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)30.93% (0.733 0.73)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.18% (0.91699999999999 0.92)48.82% (-0.918 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.17% (0.649 0.65)83.82% (-0.65100000000001 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 74.64%
    NK Varazdin 9.28%
    Draw 16.07%
HNK RijekaDrawNK Varazdin
2-0 @ 12.76% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.19% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 6.11% (-0.256 -0.26)
4-1 @ 4.38% (-0.065 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.93% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.067 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.1% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.018 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.17% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 74.64%
1-1 @ 7.64% (0.208 0.21)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.28% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 16.07%
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 2.74% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.14% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 9.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Rijeka
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 4-0 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, February 17 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-2 Rijeka
Sunday, February 11 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 3-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-2 Rijeka
Sunday, January 28 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-3 Rijeka
Wednesday, January 24 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-1 Hajduk Split
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Varazdin
Sunday, February 18 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Rudes
Friday, February 9 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 0-0 Varazdin
Friday, February 2 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, January 26 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-3 Varazdin
Friday, December 15 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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