SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 9.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 3-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | NK Varazdin |
74.65% ( -0.96) | 16.07% ( 0.44) | 9.28% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 46.52% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.16% ( -0.33) | 39.84% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.8% ( -0.34) | 62.19% ( 0.34) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% ( -0.3) | 9.11% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.06% ( -0.73) | 30.93% ( 0.73) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.18% ( 0.92) | 48.82% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.17% ( 0.65) | 83.82% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | NK Varazdin |
| 2-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.28)2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.71% Total : 74.64% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.7% Total : 16.07% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.28% |
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