SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Osijek had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Osijek win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Osijek |
60.88% ( 0.2) | 22.12% ( 0.05) | 16.99% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 49.09% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.52% ( -0.62) | 48.48% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.57) | 70.61% ( 0.57) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( -0.14) | 15.46% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.68% ( -0.27) | 44.32% ( 0.26) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.07% ( -0.69) | 41.93% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.62% ( -0.6) | 78.38% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Osijek |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.87% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.11% | 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.78% Total : 17% |
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