SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gorica | Draw | Hajduk Split |
15.43% ( 0.16) | 21.84% ( 0.09) | 62.73% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 46.66% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.01% ( -0.07) | 49.98% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.03% ( -0.06) | 71.96% ( 0.06) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.13% ( 0.18) | 44.87% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.17% ( 0.14) | 80.83% ( -0.14) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( -0.1) | 15.36% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.86% ( -0.19) | 44.14% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gorica | Draw | Hajduk Split |
| 1-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 15.43% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 12.09% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.55% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.54% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 62.72% |
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