SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Hajduk Split |
42.36% ( -0.16) | 25.39% ( 0.16) | 32.25% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% ( -0.71) | 48.27% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% ( -0.66) | 70.42% ( 0.66) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( -0.38) | 22.69% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% ( -0.57) | 56.35% ( 0.58) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( -0.35) | 28.32% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.96% ( -0.45) | 64.04% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Hajduk Split |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.36% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.25% |
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