Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Kaiserslautern
53.59% ( -0.04)	22% ( 0.03)	24.41% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.24% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.02% (

-0.15)

37.98% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.76% (

-0.16)

60.24% (

0.16)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.75% (

-0.06)

14.25% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.98% (

-0.12)

42.03% (

0.12)

Kaiserslautern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42% (

-0.08)

28.58% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.63% (

-0.1)

64.37% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 53.59%

Kaiserslautern 24.41%

Draw 22%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Kaiserslautern
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.59%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22%	1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 24.41%