SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 1-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
47.33% ( -0.24) | 21.75% ( 0.06) | 30.91% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 67.95% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.41% ( -0.2) | 31.58% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.92% ( -0.24) | 53.07% ( 0.23) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% ( -0.15) | 14% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.46% ( -0.3) | 41.53% ( 0.3) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( -0) | 20.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.26% ( -0) | 53.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.75% Total : 47.33% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.75% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.6% 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.41% 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.91% |
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