Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 59.96%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 20.64% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.22%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	VfL Osnabruck
59.96% ( 0.21)	19.41% ( -0.12)	20.64% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 65.59% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.94% (

0.46)

30.06% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.74% (

0.55)

51.26% (

-0.55)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.07% (

0.19)

9.93% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.13% (

0.43)

32.87% (

-0.43)

VfL Osnabruck Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

0.19)

27.18% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.42% (

0.25)

62.59% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 59.96%

VfL Osnabruck 20.64%

Draw 19.41%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	VfL Osnabruck
2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.77% Total : 59.96%	1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.41%	1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 20.64%