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FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)

Horsham
1 - 0
Gorleston

Meekums (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Horsham and Gorleston.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Horsham 2-0 Margate
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Gorleston 4-2 St Albans City
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Gorleston had a probability of 9.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a Gorleston win it was 1-2 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Horsham would win this match.

Result
HorshamDrawGorleston
74.64% (-0.288 -0.29) 15.42% (0.137 0.14) 9.94% (0.1529 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.94% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.67% (-0.19999999999999 -0.2)34.33% (0.202 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.76% (-0.226 -0.23)56.24% (0.228 0.23)
Horsham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.21% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)7.79% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.34% (-0.27300000000001 -0.27)27.66% (0.276 0.28)
Gorleston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.33% (0.154 0.15)43.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.15% (0.126 0.13)79.85% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Horsham 74.63%
    Gorleston 9.94%
    Draw 15.42%
HorshamDrawGorleston
2-0 @ 11.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.43% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.02% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.99% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.07% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 74.63%
1-1 @ 7.19% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.4% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 15.42%
1-2 @ 2.98% (0.04 0.04)
0-1 @ 2.82% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.17% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 9.94%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Horsham 2-0 Margate
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Margate 1-1 Horsham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Horsham 1-0 Dorking
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Horsham 4-0 Virginia Water
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Horsham 0-0 Woking
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sutton 3-0 Horsham
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gorleston 4-2 St Albans City
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barking 0-1 Gorleston
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gorleston 2-2 Barking
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gorleston 1-0 Waltham Forest
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Mulbarton Wanderers 1-3 Gorleston
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gorleston 2-0 Hadleigh United
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup


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