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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Emerald Park

Gorleston
4 - 2
St Albans City

Finch (41', 55', 62' pen.), Jefford (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Castiglione (53'), Jeffers (64')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Gorleston and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Barking 0-1 Gorleston
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 57.4%. A win for Gorleston had a probability of 21.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 0-1 (8.17%). The likeliest Gorleston win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
GorlestonDrawSt Albans City
21.43% (0.0010000000000012 0) 21.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 57.4% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.19% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)37.57% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)59.81% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Gorleston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (-0.012 -0.01)30.85% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (-0.012 -0.01)67.13% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)12.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)39.42% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gorleston 21.43%
    St Albans City 57.4%
    Draw 21.17%
GorlestonDrawSt Albans City
2-1 @ 5.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 4.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 2.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 21.43%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 5.69%
2-3 @ 3.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 57.4%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Barking 0-1 Gorleston
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gorleston 2-2 Barking
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gorleston 1-0 Waltham Forest
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Mulbarton Wanderers 1-3 Gorleston
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gorleston 2-0 Hadleigh United
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gorleston 0-7 Norwich
Saturday, July 11 at 3pm in Pre-Season Friendlies
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-1 St Albans City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Needham Market 0-3 St Albans City
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: St Albans City 0-0 Weston
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 St Albans City
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-0 St Albans City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 St Albans City
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South


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