SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Elfsborg |
32.13% ( -0.16) | 25.66% ( -0.05) | 42.21% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% ( 0.16) | 49.47% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.49% ( 0.15) | 71.51% ( -0.15) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( -0.03) | 28.99% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( -0.03) | 64.88% ( 0.03) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( 0.17) | 23.29% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.77% ( 0.26) | 57.22% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.21% |
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