Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
Result | ||
Malmo | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
62% ( -0.03) | 21.21% ( -0) | 16.8% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.57% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.04% ( 0.05) | 44.96% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.69% ( 0.05) | 67.31% ( -0.05) |
Malmo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.05% ( 0.01) | 13.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.58% ( 0.02) | 41.42% ( -0.02) |
IFK Norrkoping Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.93% ( 0.07) | 40.07% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.28% ( 0.06) | 76.72% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Malmo | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
1-0 @ 11% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 61.98% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.2% | 0-1 @ 5.11% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 16.8% |
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