SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Varnamo |
48.62% ( 0.02) | 24.64% ( 0) | 26.73% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.1% ( -0.02) | 47.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% ( -0.02) | 70.08% ( 0.02) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( -0) | 19.75% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.22% ( -0) | 51.78% |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( -0.03) | 32.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.49% ( -0.03) | 68.51% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Varnamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.12% 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 48.62% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.73% |
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