SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 42%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Elfsborg |
32.13% ( -0.04) | 25.87% ( 0.07) | 42% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.63% ( -0.3) | 50.37% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( -0.27) | 72.31% ( 0.27) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( -0.17) | 29.44% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.56% ( -0.21) | 65.44% ( 0.22) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( -0.15) | 23.79% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.06% ( -0.21) | 57.94% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 42% |
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