SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 70.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-2 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
70.2% ( 1.25) | 17.5% ( -0.21) | 12.3% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( -2.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.33% ( -1.73) | 37.67% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.09% ( -1.88) | 59.91% ( 1.88) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.39% ( -0.16) | 9.61% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.89% ( -0.38) | 32.11% ( 0.37) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.21% ( -2.75) | 41.79% ( 2.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.75% ( -2.49) | 78.25% ( 2.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.7)3-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.53)3-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.3)5-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.19)6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.08% Total : 70.19% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.35)0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.43% Total : 12.3% |
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