SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 17.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
60.77% ( -0.03) | 22.05% ( 0.03) | 17.18% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.66% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.09% ( -0.15) | 47.91% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.91% ( -0.14) | 70.09% ( 0.14) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.7% ( -0.06) | 15.3% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.97% ( -0.12) | 44.03% ( 0.11) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.63% ( -0.1) | 41.37% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.12% ( -0.09) | 77.88% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.98% 3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 60.76% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 17.18% |
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