SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 24.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Varnamo |
53.12% ( 0.19) | 22.83% ( 0.03) | 24.05% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.78% ( -0.33) | 42.21% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.38% ( -0.33) | 64.62% ( 0.33) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.1% ( -0.05) | 15.9% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.86% ( -0.09) | 45.13% ( 0.09) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( -0.36) | 31.17% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.49% ( -0.42) | 67.5% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Varnamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 53.12% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 24.05% |
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