Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 24.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Elfsborg	Draw	Varnamo
53.12% ( 0.19)	22.83% ( 0.03)	24.05% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 57.88% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.78% (

-0.33)

42.21% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.38% (

-0.33)

64.62% (

0.33)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.1% (

-0.05)

15.9% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.86% (

-0.09)

45.13% (

0.09)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.83% (

-0.36)

31.17% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.49% (

-0.42)

67.5% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Elfsborg 53.12%

Varnamo 24.05%

Draw 22.82%

Elfsborg	Draw	Varnamo
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 53.12%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.82%	1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 24.05%