SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Millwall |
44.03% ( 1.38) | 25.92% ( 0.51) | 30.05% ( -1.89) |
| Both teams to score 52.72% ( -2.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% ( -2.88) | 51.32% ( 2.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( -2.57) | 73.14% ( 2.57) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( -0.58) | 23.21% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.89% ( -0.86) | 57.1% ( 0.85) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.65% ( -2.74) | 31.34% ( 2.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.29% ( -3.31) | 67.71% ( 3.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 1) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.61)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.8)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.05% |
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