SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
27.4% ( -0.15) | 24.54% ( 0.28) | 48.06% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% ( -1.31) | 46.99% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.77% ( -1.24) | 69.23% ( 1.25) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( -0.8) | 31.05% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( -0.94) | 67.37% ( 0.95) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( -0.57) | 19.62% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.43% ( -0.94) | 51.57% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.4% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.06% |
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