SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 45%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Millwall win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
30.55% ( 1.62) | 24.45% ( -0.09) | 45% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( 1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.25% ( 1.25) | 44.75% ( -1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.89% ( 1.19) | 67.11% ( -1.19) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% ( 1.74) | 27.68% ( -1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% ( 2.18) | 63.23% ( -2.18) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( -0.15) | 20.01% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.79% ( -0.24) | 52.2% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.55% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.2)0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.53)0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.46)1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 45% |
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