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Watford logo
Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
ML
Millwall logo

Watford
2 - 2
Millwall

Asprilla (7'), Rajovic (90+2')
Livermore (37'), Asprilla (50'), Sema (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Flemming (12'), Harding (85')
Flemming (27'), Saville (38'), Norton-Cuffy (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Watford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Millwall

Ismael will be confident that his side are more settled and capable of quickly becoming promotion contenders. Nevertheless, we are yet to see that kind of consistency from them, leading us to back a low-scoring draw between two well-match sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawMillwall
41.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 27.25% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 31.37% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.22% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.91% (0.075999999999993 0.08)56.09% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84% (0.062000000000001 0.06)77.16% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.060000000000002 0.06)26.69% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.079000000000001 0.08)61.94% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (0.022000000000006 0.02)32.86% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (0.023999999999997 0.02)69.43% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 41.38%
    Millwall 31.37%
    Draw 27.25%
WatfordDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.38%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Watford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Watford
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Hull City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Millwall
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship


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