Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Millwall |
41.38% ( 0.05) | 27.25% ( -0.02) | 31.37% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.91% ( 0.08) | 56.09% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.84% ( 0.06) | 77.16% ( -0.06) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( 0.06) | 26.69% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.06% ( 0.08) | 61.94% ( -0.08) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.14% ( 0.02) | 32.86% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.57% ( 0.02) | 69.43% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.38% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.37% |
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