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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
NL

Ipswich
2 - 2
Norwich

Broadhead (34'), Burns (60')
Burns (77'), Woolfenden (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rowe (40', 49')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Norwich City

Saturday afternoon will provide Ipswich with their best opportunity to beat Norwich since that glorious day in 2009, although we cannot envisage the East Anglian derby being light work for the Tractor Boys despite their lofty league position. The Canaries might have to swallow their pride and try to grind out a result on the weekend, but regardless, we expect that their long-standing unbeaten spell in this fixture will come to an end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawNorwich City
54.85% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 21.63% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 23.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.44% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)37.22% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.57% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)59.43% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)13.6% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.26% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)40.73% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)28.88% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)64.75% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 54.85%
    Norwich City 23.51%
    Draw 21.63%
Ipswich TownDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 54.85%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 4.88% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 23.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-1 Millwall
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Ipswich
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Swansea
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Preston
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Norwich
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 3-2 Norwich
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 QPR
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship


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