SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
42.09% ( 1.38) | 26.54% ( 0.45) | 31.37% ( -1.83) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( -2.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% ( -2.36) | 53.35% ( 2.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% ( -2.03) | 74.89% ( 2.03) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( -0.35) | 25.07% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.25% ( -0.49) | 59.75% ( 0.49) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( -2.4) | 31.45% ( 2.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% ( -2.88) | 67.83% ( 2.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.87) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.53)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.7)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.37)0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.26)Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.37% |
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