SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Norwich City |
41.83% ( 0.91) | 24.93% ( 0.22) | 33.25% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.34% ( -1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% ( -1.29) | 45.93% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.77% ( -1.23) | 68.24% ( 1.23) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( -0.12) | 21.94% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.79% ( -0.18) | 55.22% ( 0.19) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( -1.28) | 26.55% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.24% ( -1.73) | 61.76% ( 1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.25% |
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