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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Isloch | Draw | Smorgon |
53.73% ( -0.13) | 25.64% ( 0.05) | 20.62% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.86% ( -0.12) | 57.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% ( -0.09) | 78% ( 0.09) |
| Isloch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.67% ( -0.1) | 21.33% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.72% ( -0.16) | 54.28% ( 0.15) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.2% ( 0.01) | 42.8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.88% ( 0.01) | 79.12% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Isloch | Draw | Smorgon |
| 1-0 @ 14.1% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.72% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.11% 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.62% |
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