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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 0-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Isloch in this match.
| Result | ||
| Isloch | Draw | Smorgon |
51.29% ( 0.46) | 23.65% ( -0.07) | 25.05% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.04% ( -0.02) | 44.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( -0.02) | 67.31% ( 0.02) |
| Isloch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( 0.17) | 17.56% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.89% ( 0.29) | 48.11% ( -0.29) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( -0.32) | 31.82% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.74% ( -0.37) | 68.26% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Isloch | Draw | Smorgon |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.74% Total : 51.29% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.05% |
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