SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 75.5%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Israel Under-23s had a probability of 9.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.31%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Israel Under-23s win it was 2-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Israel Under-23s | Draw | Japan Under-23s |
9.69% ( -0.05) | 14.8% ( 0.02) | 75.5% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.01% ( -0.27) | 31.99% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.45% ( -0.31) | 53.55% ( 0.32) |
| Israel Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.52% ( -0.29) | 42.48% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.15% ( -0.25) | 78.85% ( 0.26) |
| Japan Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.93% ( -0.05) | 7.07% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.2% ( -0.14) | 25.8% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Israel Under-23s | Draw | Japan Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 9.69% | 1-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.8% | 0-2 @ 10.54% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 9.31% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.97% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 5.28% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 3.27% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)0-6 @ 1.44% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.65% Total : 75.5% |
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