SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal Under-19s | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy Under-19s | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Poland Under-19s | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Malta Under-19s | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain Under-19s | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Norway Under-19s | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Iceland Under-19s | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Greece Under-19s | 3 | -6 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Norway Under-19s had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Norway Under-19s win it was 1-2 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-19s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy Under-19s | Draw | Norway Under-19s |
71.65% ( 0.7) | 16.53% ( -0.21) | 11.83% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 54.79% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.84% ( -0.33) | 34.16% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.96% ( -0.37) | 56.04% ( 0.38) |
| Italy Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.62% ( 0.07) | 8.38% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.84% ( 0.17) | 29.16% ( -0.17) |
| Norway Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.8% ( -1.01) | 40.2% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.16% ( -0.93) | 76.84% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Italy Under-19s | Draw | Norway Under-19s |
| 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.23)1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.8% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 71.65% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.53% | 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.53% Total : 11.83% |
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