SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a KS Cracovia win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | KS Cracovia |
58.87% ( 0.02) | 22.56% ( -0.01) | 18.57% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.13% ( 0.03) | 47.87% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( 0.03) | 70.05% ( -0.03) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% ( 0.02) | 15.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.82% ( 0.04) | 45.18% ( -0.04) |
| KS Cracovia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.3% ( 0) | 39.7% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.63% ( 0) | 76.37% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | KS Cracovia |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0)4-0 @ 3% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 58.86% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.57% |
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